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2024-12-13 05:35:54

Xinhua Viewpoint: "Changing the expression of monetary policy from' prudent' to' moderately loose' means that China continues to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance. In the early morning of December 10th, Xinhuanet published an article" Xinhua Viewpoint: Looking at the New Trends of Economic Work in 2025 from Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party ",pointing out that at present, China's development is facing many uncertainties and challenges. To do a good job in economic work next year, we must strengthen our confidence in winning. Further comprehensively deepen reform, open wider to the outside world at a high level, implement more active and promising macro policies, expand domestic demand and stabilize the property market and stock market ... Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has made a series of important arrangements for economic work next year. The expression "moderately loose monetary policy" at the meeting attracted people's attention. "The expression of monetary policy has changed from' steady' to' moderately loose', which means that China will continue to adhere to a supportive monetary policy stance, maintain a reasonable and abundant liquidity, further reduce the comprehensive financing costs of enterprises and residents, and create a good monetary and financial environment for promoting sustained economic recovery." Wen Bin, chief economist of China Minsheng Bank, said that it was more than 10 years before China's monetary policy was "moderately loose". Judging from the actual operation, monetary policy is flexible and moderate in implementation. Since the beginning of this year, the market generally feels that China's monetary policy has been in a stable and slightly loose state.It is reported that Boeing will lay off 396 workers from February 21st next year.Analysts such as Max Layton of Citigroup predicted in the global commodity outlook in 2025 that there would be a "substantial oversupply" of 1.5 million barrels per day in the second quarter of 2025. The average price of Brent crude oil may be $60/barrel in 2025, and it may be the same level in 2026.


African stock market | The South African stock index closed up by about 0.9%, and the Rand rose by over 1.5%. On Monday (December 9), the FTSE /JSE Africa Leading 40 tradable index closed up by 0.87% to 79,049.13 points, approaching the closing position of 79,132.88 points on October 29, and the highest closing position of 79,510.60 points on September 27. Sibanye Stillwater, a constituent stock, closed up by 5.96%, EXX, a large coal and heavy mineral mining company, closed up by 5.91%, and HAR.SJ, a harmony gold company, rose by 4.92%, which broke away from the lowest closing position since September 11th and reached a record high on October 22nd. Glencore (GLN) rose by 3.97% and Jintian. At present, the South African rand has closed up more than 1.5% against the US dollar, temporarily reporting 17.7385 rand, approaching the top of 17.5609 rand on November 11, and once fell back to 18.3951 rand on November 14.The commodity currency NZD/USD rose by 1.0% to 0.5886.Shanghai Tin closed up more than 2.1%, international copper, Shanghai copper, Shanghai zinc and stainless steel also rose more than 1.5% at most, international copper closed up 1.19%, Shanghai copper closed up 1.04%, Shanghai aluminum closed up 0.52%, Shanghai zinc closed up 1.55%, Shanghai lead closed up 0.48%, Shanghai nickel closed up 0.49% and Shanghai Tin closed up. Alumina closed up 0.25% at night. Stainless steel night plate closed up 1.24%.


Market information: US President Biden and King Abdullah of Jordan talked about the situation in Syria after the fall of the Assad regime.The bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts have increased substantially, driven by Morgan Stanley's blessing. With Morgan Stanley's blessing, the scale of bets on the Fed's interest rate cuts in December and January has increased significantly. The number of January and February contracts held by traders soared on Friday. Morgan Stanley strategists suggested buying the February contract in a report. "We believe that investors should prepare for the increase in the implied probability of a 25 basis point interest rate cut at the FOMC meeting on January 29th," the strategist led by Matthew Hornbach said in a report. Suggested methods for this layout include buying February federal funds contracts and receiving overnight index swap rates corresponding to the January meeting, they wrote.LME copper futures closed up $110 to $9,232/ton. LME aluminum closed down 0.16 USD to 2,588 USD/ton. LME zinc futures closed up $54 to $3,126/ton. LME lead closed down $4 to $2,068/ton. LME nickel futures closed down $51 to $15,996/ton. LME tin closed up $767 to $29,918/ton. LME cobalt was flat at $24,300/ton.

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